April 2001
Date: Wed, 4 Apr 2001
To: k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu
From: Lees Stuntz <stuntzln@clexchange.org>
Subject: Complex Adaptive System - Friend or Foe? (SD3161)
Lees sends to the List:
From: "Jim Hines" <jhines@MIT.EDU>
To: <system-dynamics@europe.std.com>
Subject: REPLY Complex Adaptive System - Friend or Foe? (SD3161)
Date: Sat, 31 Mar 2001 12:24:44 -0500
Reply-To:
>... System Dynamics can not compete with the attractiveness of these
> high-tech state-of-the-art technologies to draw young people..."
Many years ago when doing work in expert systems was incredibly fashionable,
I had a friend who happened to be a Swami in the Kashmir Shavism tradition
and who was also interested in system dyanmics. I observed dejectedly that
work in expert systems was growing "like a weed", and system dynamics was
not. Swami said "Things that grow like weeds usually are weeds."
Regards,
Jim Hines
MIT
jhines@mit.edu
Lees N. Stuntz
Creative Learning Exchange Phone- 978-287-0070
1 Keefe Road Fax- 978-287-0080
Acton, MA 01720 e-mail- stuntzln@clexchange.org
--------------------
Date: Thu, 05 Apr 2001
From: Niall Palfreyman <niall.palfreyman@fh-weihenstephan.de>
To: K-12 discussion group <k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu>
Subject: Requests for "quickie" SD demo.
Hi,
I'm giving a 15 minute talk on Tuesday to school-leavers interested in
taking bioinformatics. Of those 15 minutes, 5 will be about our
bioinformatics course and 5 will be questions. That means I have 5
minutes in which to make the point that sequencing the human genome is
only a miniscule part of the work that needs doing. The problem is that
the genome sequencing only tells us the components in a complex network
system of switching circuits between genome and environment which
together determine the phenotype. This is an SD-type problem, and I want
to make the basic SD point in about 1-2 minutes that even simple systems
can behave in unexpected ways. This is where you come in.
Can anyone think of a quick, punchy demo that makes this point? I like
to use kinaesthetic demonstrations where possible. For example, maybe I
ask one person to do something and s/he does it with no problems. Then I
ask 2-3 people to do it together and it falls apart due to reinforcing
loops. Any suggestions? Something really simple and _physical_.
Thanks for your help,
Niall Palfreyman.
-------------
From: "luis alfaro" <luisalfarog@hotmail.com>
To: k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu
Subject: Introduction
Date: Fri, 06 Apr 2001
Hello:
I'm Peruvian Navy Officer and I´m starting in systems dynamics. I´m working with software Stella 5. I'm interested in the study of Peruvian Reality and especially Maritime Reality. We have a special geostrategy position in WCSA and look the future trade regarding APEC + ALCA. If do you know some papers to (use in the) research, please send me. I'm starting in this work and my working papers, I will send you.
Best Regards
Luis Alfaro
----------------------
Date: Fri, 6 Apr 2001
To: k-12sd <k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu>
From: Bill Barowy <wbarowy@lesley.edu>
Subject: Complex Adaptive System - Friend or Foe?
I think it is good to avoid what Bateson called a "schizmogenetic" response, that enhances division between two different cultures, and use our power tools to look at the dynamics of the situation. Logistic weeds describe niche populations that don't take over others, not finding the 'carrying capacity' to do so. On the other hand, what are the patterns for fast growing populations?
Since complex systems approaches are attempting to capture some aspects of dynamical behavior that system dynamics does not, perhaps there are insights all of us can gain through dialogue. If indeed complex systems get more and younger children thinking about systems, and thinking systemically, my hunch is that these children will be put on developmental paths that are more receptive to learning system dynamics.
IMHO of course.
Bb
-----------------------------
Date: Wed, 04 Apr 2001
Subject: Re: qualitative data
From: Carolyn Montgomery <montgome@ses.curtin.edu.au>
To: k-12sd
From: Melinda Salazar <msalazar@cisunix.unh.edu>
>I'd like to know if anyone has experience with the software: NVIVO, a
>qualitative research coding tool. Or, can anyone recommend other
>ethnographic software (for a Mac, please.)
Melinda,
Try NUDIST. More details about NUDIST.....
QSR NUDIST is a software package for qualitative data analysis. At the
moment the latest is Version 5, version 4 is sold as a student package. It
is developed and manufactured by qualitative Solutions and Research Pty Ltd.
the software and documentation is distributed by SOLARI in America, Sage
Publications software.
What does NUDIST do?
NUDIST stands for Non-numerical Unstructured Data Indexing Searching and
theorising. it is a computer package that cn run on either Mac or PC
platforms that is designed to aid users in handling non-numerical and
unstructured data in qualitative analysis by supporting processes of coding
in an index system, searching text or searching patterns of coding and
theorising about the data.
NUDIST creates an environment in which you can create, manage and explore
ideas ad categories to minimise clerical routine and maximise flexibility
etc etc.
Carolyn Montgomery
Sc LA Manager
Carey Baptist College
--------------------------------------
Date: Mon, 16 Apr 2001
From: "Allan Collins" <collina@irn.pdx.edu>
To: <k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu>
Subject: Conference Report
I just came back from the American Educational Research Association convention in Seattle. I was a bit dissappointed that there was only 1 special interest group (SIG) dedicated to systems. There were 4 presenters 3 of which talked about systems from the educational policy perspective.
Maybe next year there will be a much greater representation of the amazing work that is constantly being discussed here in this forum. Especially from the k-12 work.
Keep up the great discussions.
allan collins
portland state university
-------------------
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----------------------
Date: Tue, 17 Apr 2001
From: "RICHARD TURNOCK" <Richard_Turnock@pgn.com>
To: k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu
Subject: Regression Analysis
Another unfortunate example of lack of systems thinking and not using dynamic modeling:
Over three days, The Oregonian newspaper published results of regression analysis of test scores versus parent education/income. They showed a linear relationship - test scores increasing with higher parent education/income. The line had a variance above and below the line to define "average" performance range. Any schools above the top of the range were labeled overperforming and below the bottom of the range were labeled underperforming.
The article made a big deal out of three school districts who refused to cooperate. The districts criticized the method and wouldn't give access to teachers for the reporters to interview during the workday.
Richard Turnock
Adjunct Instructor, Portland State University
Educational Services, Portland General Electric
Portland OR USA
--------------------------------
From: "james davidson" <jimd249@hotmail.com>
To: k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu
Subject: Introduction
Date: Tue, 24 Apr 2001
Dear all,
My name is James Davidson and I am a teacher at a technology college in Tonbridge, Kent, UK.
I am in the early stages of a PhD in systems dynamics and education at the Institute of Education, University of London.
I am reading through the major works and am keen to get my hands on ANYTHING with specific reference to system dynamics and education.
I would welcome any advise and guidance.
Yours, with thanks,
James Davidson.
---------------------
From: "John Gunkler" <jgunkler@sprintmail.com>
To: "K-12 Ed List" <k-12mas@sysdyn.mit.edu>
Subject: SD and education
Date: Wed, 25 Apr 2001
I'm sure you'll get lots of suggestions from others, so I'll confine myself
to the one article you should read immediately! It was written by Jay
Forrester, the founder of system dynamics, and is titled: "Learning through
System Dynamics as Preparation for the 21st Century." It is available
online as document number D-4434-1 in the Road Maps series, Road Maps
chapter 8. Road Maps are a series of learning exercises you can use to
teach yourself the rudiments of SD. They were prepared by students of Dr.
Forrester at MIT. Follow this URL to get the article and the rest of Road
Maps:
Good luck!
John W. Gunkler
jgunkler@sprintmail.com
--------------------------
Date: Wed, 25 Apr 2001
From: "Charlotte M. Trout" <ctrout@isaac.williamsport.wa.k12.md.us>
To: k-12sd <k-12sd@sysdyn.mit.edu>
Subject: Re: Introduction
To James,
I am sure someone will recommend Schools That Learn - it just came out
last fall. Also, you might want to check out the Maryland Virtual High
School Web Site (mvhs1.mbhs.edu/mvhsproj/project2.html) and the CC-STADUS
website (www.cc-stadus.com). MVHS is/was a network of high schools across
the state of Maryland, many of which were using STELLA and developing
systems dynamics ideas and lessons. CC-STADUS is the central site for
systems dynamics in the Portland, Oregon school district. There is
another project in Arizona that is strong in the younger grades, but I
don't remember the name nor do I ever recall seeing a website that
contained lots of information. Hope this is what you are looking for.